The Return of Renzi: Italy’s former Prime Minister is re-elected leader of governing Democratic Party

Matteo Renzi celebrates his re-election as Secretary of Italy’s Democratic Party.
His two opponents left trailing in the dust, Matteo Renzi last night stormed to victory in the primaries of Italy's governing Democratic Party. Returning to the role he had stepped down from in February, the former Prime Minister succeeded in securing a resounding 70 percent of the vote, sending a clear message to his detractors that, despite being forced out of government by national rejection of his flagship constitutional reforms last December, Matteo Renzi is not yet a spent force in Italian politics. 

Reported to be closely watching the rise of Emmanuel Macron in France, it is no secret that Renzi sees in the French presidential candidate a blueprint for the revival of his own fortunes south of the Alps. The adoption by Renzi’s campaign of the slogan In Cammino (On the way), an almost direct transliteration of Macron’s En Marche, has drawn many to compare the two unashamed continental centrists. With an Italian general election looming early in 2018, and with the populist Five Star Movement currently leading in the polls, the lessons of Macron’s victory over Le Pen are ones the PD is badly in need of learning if Renzi is ever to realise his keenly nursed hopes of a restoration to the Chigi. 

But it also remains possible that Renzi will utilise his overwhelming re-endorsement by party supporters to plot a more imminent return to power. His handpicked successor as Prime Minister, Paolo Gentilioni, is widely seen as little more than a placeholder and would likely step graciously aside to make way for his former leader. Flush with his new mandate to head the Italian Parliament's largest party, Renzi would be in a strong position to persuade President Mattarella that he should once again be invited to head the government as well. 

However, it may prove a wiser to course to wait a little longer in the wings. Defeat in December’s divisive referendum is still a wound barely healed and, without a general election victory, the premature return of a Prime Minister so recently rejected would likely undermine rather than strengthen Renzi’s position heading into the crucial 2018 contest. The fight to hold off the Five Star Movement will be tough, and what time is left might better be spent in constructing the Macron-style coalition Renzi will need to build for any hope of success. 


Yet yesterday’s vote hugely boosts Renzi’s political position, solidifying his hold over the party and re-galvanising his core base of supporters, many of whom were left reeling in the wake of December’s unceremonious departure. “We will now move forward together,” was the message given to his celebrating supporters following last nights primaries victory. Whether he will in fact be able to retake Rome is an open question, but five months on from his political career being torn into what seemed irrevocable tatters by the referendum vote, Matteo Renzi has engineered a spectacular recovery. Today he stands propelled once more back to the forefront of Italian politics, ready to lead the Democratic Party’s fightback against the anti-establishment Five Star and with a triumphant return to the Chigi only a tantalising step away. 

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